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Pro Ecclesia, Pro Mundus
ACC homers need to get their facts straight.
Check out this inaccurate mess: http://accfootballrx.blogspot.com/2012/05/tv-contracts-acc-vs-big-12.html
Please let me know if my figures are off.
1- Media analysts quoted by Chip Brown estimated FSU and Clemson to be able to rake in between OU's expected take (5m/yr) and UT's (15m/yr). This schmuck simply goes "durr I think they'd get 2m". Also even if 2m is all they get that is 2m they don't get in the ACC. 20m over 10 years? Yeah that adds up.
2- He tries to equate the backloading figures. They are not equal. Leaks have given the figures that the ACC deal is gonna be starting at 14 and get to 17 in 2021.
Leaks have also said the Big 12 will be at 20m as early as 2015. His figures for 20m are selling the Big 12 5m short. Assuming the leaks are accurate (which they seem to be since the leakers were right about the final amounts back in february) instead of a 1.6m gap it's a 6.6m gap in 2015. His averages for the Big 12 payout are also 1m shy of the 20.9 I remember the SBJ releasing. So he's inaccurate again.
The guy is once again dead wrong and flying with bad assumptions to slant the argument his way.
3- He neglects the fact that the Big 12 cuts a check of less than 1m per school to fund the league office and the ACC divides the pie by 15, not 14, slices to pay the league overhead.
So instead of the Big 12 at 19.6 and the ACC at 17.1 its closer to 20.9 vs 15.9 AND the Big 12 isn't as backloaded as the ACC.
4- He neglects to adjust the Big 12 deal for at least 1.5m for a title game (every game except the ACC or CUSA/MAC gets this. He also neglects to add FSU and Clemson's value to it. That would give a minimum bump of 1m and thats conservative on it.
So minimum 23.4 vs 15.9 without including tier 3. I have seen estimates of minimum 5m. He estimates 2m. To prove my point let's use his figure.
25.4 vs 15.9 with very little benefit of the doubt given to the Big 12 side of things. If we allow for a 1m larger tv bump and a 7m tier 3 deal you could end up with 31.4!
The ACC homers are also ignoring the money the Big 12 will get from the new playoff that the ACC will miss out on most years. FSU or Clemson would have to go undefeated to get a shot at that money. At worst in the Big 12 they still get a cut even if they themselves don't make it. Not to mention the money made from the Big 12-SEC bowl and if we go to 16 the possibility of conference semifinal games. So much more money out there even when you ignore the tier 1, 2 and 3 TV contracts. The ACC is just screwed.
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